72%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
28%
Середня кількість викинутих ударів за бій
159
Середня кількість викинутих ударів за бій0
Середня кількість точних ударів за бій
32 (20%)
Середня кількість точних ударів за бій0 (0%)
Середня кількість викинутих джебів за бій
70
Середня кількість викинутих джебів за бій0
Середня кількість точних джебів за бій
9 (13%)
Середня кількість точних джебів за бій0 (0%)
Середня кількість викинутих силових ударів за бій
89
Середня кількість викинутих силових ударів за бій0
Середня кількість точних силових ударів за бій
24 (27%)
Середня кількість точних силових ударів за бій0 (0%)
139to the head
22to the body
0to the head
0to the body
Detailed Fight Review
At last, Deontay Wilder gets an opponent more suited to his current state. The American hasn’t won since 2022, a dry spell bookended by back-to-back losses. And during that stretch, he faced stylistically difficult opponents. Fury – mobile and powerful. Parker – disciplined and technical. Zhilei Zhang – precise, heavy-handed southpaw. None of them allowed Wilder to settle into his rhythm.
Tyrell Herndon, in contrast, is more what Wilder needs now: a solid, less mobile, less technical fighter with moderate power and size. This is about rebuilding confidence in both his punch and his own belief.
Wilder is 39, Herndon two years younger, but the gap in experience is vast. Wilder held the WBC heavyweight title for five years and has faced: Tyson Fury, Joseph Parker, Luis Ortiz, Robert Helenius, Zhilei Zhang, Chris Arreola, Artur Szpilka, and more.
Herndon’s record pales in comparison. His most notable opponent was Richard Torrez Jr., and he shared a ring (briefly) with Efe Ajagba—lose KO 1.
Don’t expect fireworks in terms of combinations. Both fighters are heavyweights who throw short, deliberate bursts, focusing on timing and power.
Herndon should consider increasing his output, trying to pressure Wilder and push him backward—something past opponents like Fury and Parker used effectively. Wilder typically starts slow, taking the opening rounds to measure range and set up power shots. His activity ramps up in the later rounds, often culminating in explosive finishes—if he finds his groove.
Neither has fought since 2024. Wilder, meanwhile, is coming off two consecutive defeats (2023 and 2024) and hasn’t had his hand raised in over two years. Herndon has the momentum: three straight wins, including one stoppage, and no losses since 2023.
Wilder’s legendary power isn’t a myth. His first-round KO of Robert Helenius in 2022 remains a chilling reminder. But in his last two fights, Wilder struggled to unleash it—he looked hesitant, smothered, and rarely found the distance he needed.
Herndon has respectable heavyweight power, but it’s not exceptional. He can hurt opponents—but he's not known for explosive, one-punch knockouts.
Once considered iron-chinned, Wilder’s aura of invincibility cracked under Fury’s relentless pressure. Still, he’s not fragile—he can absorb punishment, just not endlessly.
Herndon, on the other hand, has shown vulnerability. 4 of his 5 losses were by stoppage, including a TKO by the much smaller Richard Torrez Jr. in 2023. Against someone like Wilder, staying upright will be a serious challenge.
This isn’t a mega-arena. A smaller venue, a smaller card—something Wilder hasn’t seen in a while. But that’s exactly the point. A mental reset. A step backward to go forward. A quieter environment where he can recalibrate without the noise of expectation.
Make no mistake: Herndon is the underdog. He’s a durable journeyman—and under normal circumstances, Wilder in his prime would have handled him easily. But these aren’t normal times.
Herndon knows that a win here could catapult him to massive paydays, and he’s surely studied Deontay’s vulnerabilities.
Wilder still talks about comebacks and mega-fights, including Anthony Joshua, but first comes this crossroads bout. A dominant KO would buy him time. A close fight—or worse, a loss—would signal that the clock may have run out. This is not just a fight—it’s a career checkpoint for the Bronze Bomber.