Jesse Rodriguez vs. Pedro Guevara: Victory Chances and Fight Statistics
On November 9 in Philadelphia, USA, WBC super flyweight champion Jesse Rodriguez will make his first title defense against Mexico’s Pedro Guevara. The fight will be on the undercard of the rematch between Jaron Ennis and Karen Chukhadzhian.
Here’s an in-depth look at the stats and breakdown from Ready to Fight.
Jesse Rodriguez
USA
Age: 24
Weight Class: Super Flyweight (up to 52.2 kg)
Height: 163 cm
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Southpaw
Record: 20 wins, 13 by stoppage, 0 losses
KO Percentage: 65%
Career Rounds: 110
Recent Fights:
- KO in the 7th round against Juan Francisco Estrada
- RTD 9 win over Sunny Edwards
- UD 12 win over Cristian Gonzalez Hernandez
- UD 12 win over Israel Gonzalez
- TKO loss in the 8th round to Wisaksil Wangek
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 48
Average Rounds per Fight: 9.6
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest - 12 rounds / Shortest - 7 rounds (KO win)
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 100%
KO Percentage in Recent Fights: 60%
Frequency of Fights: 1.66 fights per year
Opponents’ Combined Record at Time of Fight: 157 wins, 13 losses, 2 draws
Best Opponent Record: Sunny Edwards (20 wins, 0 losses at the time of the fight)
Worst Opponent Record: Israel Gonzalez (28 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw)
Title Fights: 6 (6 wins, 3 by stoppage)
Successful Title Defenses: 3
Pedro Guevara
Mexico
Age: 35
Weight Class: Super Flyweight (up to 52.2 kg)
Height: 163 cm
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Orthodox
Record: 42 wins, 2 by stoppage, 2 losses, 1 draw
KO Percentage: 52.38%
Career Rounds: 329
Recent Fights:
- SD 12 win over Andrew Moloney
- UD 12 win over Lamberto Macias
- SD 12 loss to Carlos Cuadras
- UD 10 win over Miguel Angel Herrera
- UD 10 win over Angel Avilas Armenta
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 56
Average Rounds per Fight: 11.2
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest - 12 rounds / Shortest - 10 rounds
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 80%
KO Percentage in Recent Fights: 0%
Frequency of Fights: 1.66 fights per year
Opponents’ Combined Record at Time of Fight: 126 wins, 30 losses, 8 draws
Best Opponent Record: Andrew Moloney (26 wins, 3 losses at the time of the fight)
Worst Opponent Record: Lamberto Macias (17 wins, 10 losses, 1 draw)
Title Fights: 0
Styles and Techniques of the Opponents
Jesse Rodriguez is a versatile fighter. He excels in both offense and counter-punching, with one of the most effective jabs in boxing—landing at around 29%. Fighters like Rodriguez are a huge challenge, as they’re hard to anticipate and adapt to, being proficient in nearly every aspect of the sport. On top of this, Rodriguez wields powerful punches with both hands.
Guevara, in comparison to Rodriguez’s previous opponents, isn’t exactly a superstar. However, he has both the physical strength and punching power to stand toe-to-toe with a champion, and he’s skilled at leveraging these strengths in the ring.
Age and Experience Difference
Rodriguez holds a massive advantage in both age and experience. Despite being younger, Jesse is more seasoned. Just having Sunny Edwards and Juan Francisco Estrada on his unbeaten record already surpasses half of Guevara’s accomplishments. And that’s not to mention Carlos Cuadras, Wisaksil Wangek, Cristian Hernandez, among others.
One of Guevara’s notable victories came in 2024, when he traveled to Australia to face Andrew Moloney. He displayed excellent body work, applied pressure, and capitalized on his opponent’s mistakes, ultimately winning by a split decision. He shares a common opponent with Jesse—Carlos Cuadras—but Guevara lost to him.
Punch Volume in Recent Fights
Rodriguez has a slight edge in punch volume, but his real strength lies in accuracy. Jesse is currently the most precise puncher in the world, landing at an impressive rate of 39-40%. His power punch accuracy is around 49%, which is also the best globally. Although Guevara is physically strong, handling this kind of accuracy is a tough challenge.
Fight Activity
This will be Guevara’s third fight in 2024 and the second for Rodriguez. Both fought twice last year. Given the significantly higher level of opposition Jesse has faced, Pedro doesn’t hold any advantage here, despite having slightly more fights overall.
Punching Power
Rodriguez has the edge in power as well. He’s not just hard-hitting but exceptionally accurate, especially with his body shots, and he carefully crafts his attacks. Guevara, however, also packs a punch, and Jesse will need to be cautious of getting caught—especially as he aims to end the fight with a bang. The threat is real.
Ability to Take a Punch
Yes, Jesse Rodriguez was knocked down in his previous fight. However, it was a flash knockdown from Juan Francisco Estrada, and Jesse recovered swiftly, scoring a stoppage shortly after. Guevara has a sturdy chin, having never lost by stoppage. Not one of his four decision losses was straightforward—three were split decisions, and one was a majority decision.
Fight Venue
The fight will take place in Philadelphia, the hometown of Jaron Ennis, who will headline the event against Karen Chukhadzhian. This will be Jesse Rodriguez’s debut in Philadelphia, as well as for Guevara, who has spent most of his career fighting in Mexico or traveling abroad.
Psychology and Recent Successes
As a total underdog, Pedro Guevara might be able to capitalize on low expectations. With everyone favoring Rodriguez to win decisively, Guevara could potentially unsettle the favorite if he manages to stifle Rodriguez’s attempts for a dominant early victory.
However, Rodriguez has never shown signs of mental fragility. Even after being knocked down in his previous fight, Jesse quickly bounced back and celebrated a stoppage victory over Juan Francisco Estrada.
Victory Odds by Ready to Fight:
- Jesse Rodriguez – 73%
- Pedro Guevara – 27%