Hitchins vs Kambosos: Fight Prediction

On June 14, New York will host a fight for the IBF super lightweight title. For reigning champion Richardson Hitchins, this will be his first title defense. The challenger is George Kambosos, who only recently debuted in this weight class.

We’ve already discussed where to watch the bout.

Now, using statistical and stylistic indicators, we analyze the likelihood of each fighter’s success.

The stats clearly reflect the fighters’ styles

George Kambosos is an aggressive, high-volume puncher. He even tried to outwork the extremely active Vasiliy Lomachenko in terms of punches thrown. In general, the Australian spends a lot of time on the offensive. However, accuracy is often an issue — he usually lands only 10 to 19% of his total punches.

Hitchins, on the other hand, is a more versatile boxer. He’s comfortable in both stances and, while he throws a bit less, he lands with significantly more precision. Taking into account his size advantage, the situation could be quite dangerous for George.

George Kambosos

– Has lost three of his last five fights. However, those defeats came against Devin Haney (twice) and Vasiliy Lomachenko. Hitchins hasn’t faced anyone of that caliber.

– This will be his second fight at Super Lightweight. He made his debut in the division just three months ago, winning by decision.

– If he wins, Kambosos will become a world champion in a second weight class.

Richardson Hitchins

– In his last three fights, he has beaten Jose Zepeda, Gustavo Lemos, and Liam Paro — all tough opponents, all via decision.

– This is his first title defense. He won the belt by defeating Paro.

– If victorious, Hitchins is expected to pursue a unification bout with Teofimo Lopez, who holds the WBO title.

Hitchins vs Kambosos – Prediction

Ready to Fight estimates each fighter’s chances based on multiple factors: recent performance, quality of opponents, location of the fight, and more.

Taking all variables into account, we assess Richardson Hitchins’ chances of victory at 69%, and George Kambosos’ at 31%.

The Australian is the smaller fighter and will need to push forward aggressively. That might work — Hitchins has shown vulnerability before, including in the Paro fight. But the more likely outcome seems to be a comfortable win for the American, who will look to fight at range and counter the aggressive Kambosos.

A detailed breakdown with full stats is available at this link.