49%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
51%
A stylistically fascinating clash between two boxers who have both shone brightly throughout the tournament. Lozan won two of his three bouts inside the distance — knocking out Basran in the third round and stopping Toltaev in the fifth.
Danylo can adapt his style. Speaking about the fight with Basran, he noted how he and his coach planned to transition from a more cautious, stalking approach to an aggressive style as soon as the opponent began to tire. Against Eshmatov, Lozan had to provoke exchanges more frequently — and that’s precisely what led him to victory. In the ring with Eshmatov, the Ukrainian faced a rather dirty opponent, often forcing him to work off the back foot.
Tursunov, on the other hand, is a fighter with extensive amateur experience who consistently imposes his own rhythm. He moves forward aggressively, has excellent footwork, and throws frequent, accurate combinations in attack.
Lozan is three years younger — he’s 22. However, the fighters’ backgrounds are quite different.
Tursunov has only eight professional bouts (debuting in 2022) but a deep amateur pedigree. Among other things, he faced Lozan’s former opponent Toltaev and Olympic champion Andy Cruz — all competitive, high-level contests.
Lozan debuted a year earlier, in 2021, and already has 15 professional fights under his belt — a solid résumé that includes strong opposition at the WBC Grand Prix and bouts against durable foes like Borishpolts, Ayvazidi, and Belinsky.
In essence, this is a battle between the more experienced amateur and the more seasoned professional — and in most cases, the latter tends to hold the advantage.
The data refers exclusively to their WBC Grand Prix performances. Overall, both fighters throw roughly the same number of punches, but it’s worth noting that Lozan finished two of his bouts early, whereas Tursunov went the full six rounds in all three of his fights. Lozan’s total number of rounds is lower, meaning his average punch output per round is higher.
Naturally, that also impacts his accuracy. Tursunov is significantly sharper with the jab — landing 26% compared to Lozan’s 7%.
However, Lozan holds the edge in power punching. Despite throwing roughly the same volume, the Ukrainian lands over 20% of his power shots, while Tursunov connects on just 16%.
It’s important to assess not just activity but also freshness, especially in the later stages of the tournament.
On one side, we have Tursunov, who’s gone three full six-round fights; on the other, Lozan, who stopped his last two opponents early. Yet, that doesn’t guarantee Lozan will be fresher.
It comes down to the type of opposition. While the elusive Basran was an easy night’s work, the battle with Toltaev was grueling — five hard rounds that left Lozan with two cuts. Considering the tight tournament schedule, those cuts could pose a serious risk. Tursunov may have gone more rounds but avoided injuries that could jeopardize his performance.
Tursunov’s high volume and precision are designed to disrupt his opponent’s rhythm and create openings for a potential stoppage — though he hasn’t managed that so far in the tournament.
Lozan, however, has caused visible damage in every bout. He’s knocked out one opponent and forced another stoppage due to a cut. Clearly, his punches are not to be taken lightly.
Neither fighter appears to have major issues in this area. Early in the tournament, Eshmatov landed several hard shots on Lozan, yet the Ukrainian endured and prevailed. Tursunov, for his part, fights in a way that minimizes incoming damage. A knockout in this matchup would be more of a surprise than an expectation.
Three rounds in Riyadh — three different venues. However, this factor is unlikely to influence either fighter’s mindset or energy. Both have already grown accustomed to competing in Saudi Arabia.
Just one step remains before the tournament final, which will be part of a full professional boxing card.
Both boxers have faced diverse and difficult opponents, so motivation won’t be an issue. However, the deeper the tournament goes, the tougher the opposition — and that’s exactly the case here.
Tursunov can outbox Lozan. Lozan can overpower Tursunov. Ultimately, the outcome will depend on the smallest details: who prepared better, whose game plan is more flexible, who hits harder and cleaner, and who can impose his fight. Professional experience and exposure to varied opposition in the pro ranks may also play a decisive role.
363
Total number of Punches thrown641
30 (8%)
Total number of Punches landed28 (4%)
42
Total number of Jabs thrown275
2 (5%)
Total number of Jabs landed6 (2%)
321
Total number of Power Punches thrown366
28 (9%)
Total number of Power Punches landed22 (6%)
28to the head
2to the body
25to the head
3to the body