The first fight confirmed two things: yes, stylistically this is a strong matchup — and yes, it’s a very tough one for both fighters.

Fundora seems simple yet tricky at the same time. Sebastian constantly moves forward, throws a high volume of punches, and applies pressure. He works actively at close range, despite his size. Serhii Bohachuk, who has sparred Fundora multiple times, noted that Sebastian is most dangerous up close because he lands punches from unexpected angles.

Tszyu, on the other hand, is a different kind of fighter — more economical, more cautious, more technical. He focuses on efficiency and precision, aiming to land clean power shots.

In their first meeting, both strategies proved effective — but not fully. Tszyu started strong, landing often and effectively despite Fundora’s massive height and reach advantage. But we never got to see what would happen if Sebastian turned up the pressure while Tim was at full strength — because the Australian suffered a severe cut early on that left his eyes flooded with blood.

From that point on, Tszyu struggled. He couldn’t match the sheer volume of Fundora’s attacks. And with his vision impaired, it was even harder to mount an effective response.

Fundora is only 27, yet he's already been an interim champion, lost that title via a dramatic KO to Brian Mendoza, and returned in a bout that unexpectedly became a two-belt unification fight — his first meeting with Tszyu. Originally, Fundora was scheduled to fight Bohachuk, but he replaced Keith Thurman (who withdrew from facing Tim) and seized the chance to compete for both the WBC and WBO titles.

Sebastian not only became unified champion, but has since vacated the WBO belt — a move triggered by the rematch clause in Tszyu’s contract.

Tszyu is 30. A former world champion who, in 2023, was arguably the division’s top man — until back-to-back losses: first to Fundora (a decision loss while injured), then by stoppage to Radzhab Butaev, who floored him several times.

The key question: can Tszyu keep up with Fundora’s punch output and limit Sebastian’s volume? Early in their first fight, Tim showed he had the tools. But he couldn’t sustain them for long.

On one hand, it’s clearly difficult to maintain such a pace for all 12 rounds. On the other, Tszyu was dealing with a serious injury, so it’s hard to evaluate him fairly. He landed well and often at the start, but now he's coming off both a severe cut and a knockout loss — will he have the same confidence?

As for the numbers: Fundora averages about 660–680 punches per fight — over 55 punches per round. Tszyu averages just 226 punches — around 19 per round.

Tszyu, however, is much more accurate — with an edge of over 10% in total punch accuracy (38% to 26%), 9% in jabs (24% to 15%), and 10% in power punches (45% to 35%).

But Fundora’s raw output is still impressive. A 38% total accuracy rate on that many punches makes him a nightmare to defend against.

Both fought in 2025. Tszyu stopped Joseph Spencer in Round 4, while Fundora did the same to Chordale Booker. However, the level of opposition was modest.

Prior to that, Tszyu had lost twice — to Fundora and then to Butaev. He suffered a cut and a knockout. Fundora, for his part, had to recover from a broken nose (courtesy of Tszyu) and saw negotiations for a bout with Errol Spence fall through.

So for Fundora, this is his first major fight since the initial Tszyu clash. For Tim, it’s a shot at redemption.

Statistically, Tszyu holds the edge — 72% KO ratio vs. 63.64% for Fundora. And in their first meeting, Tim landed some telling shots that Fundora clearly didn’t enjoy.

But Fundora’s power is real — and with nearly three times as many punches thrown, that KO ratio gap becomes less meaningful. This is a dangerous matchup for both.

Both men have been dropped — in dramatic fashion.

Fundora was flattened by Mendoza in a viral KO. Tszyu was overwhelmed by Butaev, going down four times — no small matter.

These moments take a toll both physically and mentally. And while their bodies may recover quickly, mentally it’s another story. Shaking the fear of another knockout is difficult. Regaining the confidence to trade punches without hesitation — even harder.

And that confidence will matter. There will be exchanges in this fight. Plenty of them. And they’ll test both men’s chins thoroughly.

Fundora fought at Madison Square Garden in 2020, earning a decision win over Daniel Lewis. He’ll effectively be the hometown fighter this time.

Tszyu usually excels at home, but his record in the U.S. is mixed. He fought there once in 2022 and twice in 2024 — winning the first bout on points, but losing the next two.

This rematch means everything to Tszyu. His team activated the rematch clause even though fewer belts would be on the line. He feels he was in control early in the first fight and could’ve won if not for the cut.

But was the cut really the only factor? That’s what this second meeting will reveal. Fundora could overwhelm him again with volume and pressure — potentially even win by stoppage. He’s big, strong, and his opponent is coming off a KO loss.

Still, this is a 50/50 fight. Both men have had rough patches recently. The rematch is their chance to turn things around — to prove something.

For Fundora: that he can dominate even a healthy Tszyu.

For Tszyu: that the loss was a fluke — and he’s still world championship material.