Fight Analytics

This Ukrainian derby brings an intriguing stylistic contrast to the table. Vladyslav Sirenko typically favors an aggressive, pressure-heavy approach, relying on a sharp jab, heavy hands, and physical dominance. Only a handful of opponents have ever forced him to backpedal, and even when fighting off the back foot, Sirenko has held his own.

Andrii Novytskyi, despite often having a size advantage (as he does here), prefers to box off the back foot. That’s by design—his trainer has molded him into a counterpunching stylist, and this may serve him well against an opponent like Sirenko who applies consistent forward pressure.

The fighters are close in age—Novytskyi is 29, just a year younger. But experience clearly favors Sirenko, as he pointed out during their verbal exchanges.

Sirenko had a notable amateur background in Ukraine. As a pro, he’s faced respectable names like Nascimento, Bakhtov, Dovbyshchenko, Sokolowski, Ustinov, and Rudenko. None are elite, but they’re solid and seasoned.

Novytskyi’s résumé lacks notable names. His highest-profile bout was against Edgar Ramirez on the Usyk-Fury undercard, and Ramirez gave him serious trouble. It’s not yet clear that Novytskyi has made the leap in quality of opposition.

Both fighters are active and combination-oriented, with very few lulls in action. While their total punch counts are similar, Sirenko’s fights often end early—he hasn’t gone past six rounds since 2021.

Sirenko lands at a slightly higher accuracy rate—up to 20%. Novytskyi typically lands 14–15% of his shots.

Sirenko fought three times in 2024, but only on small U.S. shows in Nashville against low-tier opposition—a point even he acknowledges. Novytskyi fought seven times in 2024, including on the Joshua–Ngannou and Usyk–Fury undercards—major platforms. He gained valuable experience, especially in his testing bout against Ramirez.

Sirenko likely has the edge in pure knockout power. He’s on a six-fight stoppage streak, including being the first to stop Andrii Rudenko, who had only ever been halted by Jared Anderson before. Novytskyi doesn’t rely on one-shot knockouts but can crack when needed. He’s more of a volume puncher, focusing on body-head combinations, and when he hurts an opponent, he knows how to close.

Neither man has an iron chin, but both have shown solid defensive ability and awareness. Clean, heavy shots rarely land, and neither has been badly hurt or dropped to date.

That said, a knockout can come to the body as well as the head. Sirenko may need to target the midsection early and often to sap Novytskyi’s legs. Novytskyi, in turn, frequently attacks the body as part of his combinations—something that could be crucial against a pressuring opponent.

This will be the first appearance at Wembley—and in the UK overall—for both fighters. It’s a neutral setting, with no hometown edge. A clean, fair fight is expected.

Notably, this will be Sirenko’s debut under Queensberry Promotions, but that’s unlikely to affect the outcome significantly.

This bout is a breakthrough opportunity for both men, especially with the Ukrainian fanbase watching closely. An all-Ukrainian clash at a major UK venue is a rare moment.

The fighters have already engaged in social media trash talk, helping build anticipation. Both are undefeated prospects—and both know this win could define their trajectory.

For Novytskyi, it’s a chance to shine again on a major undercard. For Sirenko, it’s the first outing under a major promotional banner. This will come down to tactics, adaptability, and communication with their corners. In a close, competitive matchup like this, strategic execution could be the deciding factor.