61%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
39%
Organizer: Teiken Promotions, Top Rank
What else can you expect from a Japanese boxing event if not fireworks? Every fight card in the country is packed with action, and this matchup is no exception.
Hiroto Kyoguchi is a relentless aggressor. His entire strategy revolves around overwhelming his opponent with non-stop pressure, forcing close-range exchanges, and creating openings for his power shots.
Meanwhile, Anthony Olascuaga, who has lived and trained in Japan for years, brings a more refined approach. He moves well, changes angles effectively both offensively and defensively, and finds creative ways to break down his opponents.
The 26-year-old American takes on the 31-year-old Japanese fighter—both at ideal ages, but with different career paths.
Interestingly, both have suffered knockout losses to Kenshiro Teraji, and both were stopped in the seventh round. However, Olascuaga rebounded impressively, capturing a world title and securing key wins over Riku Kano and Jonathan Gonzalez, giving him a slight experience edge at the championship level.
Neither fighter gives their opponents room to breathe. Expect high-output exchanges, endless combinations, and back-and-forth action—this is simply how they fight. Both are aggressive, and neither is afraid to let their hands go.
Both fighters competed twice in 2023, but their paths were different.
Kyoguchi fought the same opponent twice—first losing to Vince Paras, then avenging the defeat. Olascuaga, on the other hand, won the WBO world title by knocking out Riku Kano and then demolished Jonathan Gonzalez in the first round to defend his belt.
While Kyoguchi had two full-length fights, Olascuaga dominated at the highest level, showing his progression.
Japan has no shortage of power punchers, and Kyoguchi certainly packs a punch. He frequently commits to power shots, loading up to maximize damage.
However, Olascuaga has recently proven that his power is different—he doesn’t just hit hard, he lands clean and ends fights quickly. His knockout efficiency has been on full display in recent fights.
Neither fighter possesses an iron chin, but neither can be called fragile either. Their losses to Teraji came against an elite fighter with significant power at their weight class.
For context, Teraji nearly sent Olascuaga flying out of the ring, but it's important to note that Teraji is a physical force compared to most opponents in this division.
Olascuaga has been in Japan for so long that he feels like a hometown fighter. This will be his fifth fight in Japan out of nine total, meaning Kyoguchi won’t have any home-crowd advantage.
Moreover, Olascuaga has already fought and won at Kokugikan Arena—the very place where he became a world champion.
Olascuaga is on a roll. Three straight stoppage victories, a world title win, and a successful defense—he has all the momentum coming into this fight.
That confidence will be crucial, as Kyoguchi’s pressure, power, and work rate can break a fighter mentally if they don’t have early success.
Kyoguchi could struggle with Olascuaga’s unpredictable offensive approach, but whether he can withstand clean power shots remains to be seen.
If a knockout happens, it will likely come before the halfway point of the fight. But if both fighters withstand the power, expect a long, intense, back-and-forth war filled with brutal exchanges.
636
Total number of Punches thrown404
49 (8%)
Total number of Punches landed55 (14%)
445
Total number of Jabs thrown250
31 (7%)
Total number of Jabs landed33 (13%)
191
Total number of Power Punches thrown154
18 (9%)
Total number of Power Punches landed22 (14%)
41to the head
8to the body
38to the head
17to the body