This fight is best analyzed from two perspectives:

On one side stands Maciej Sulecki, a methodical pressure fighter—not overly aggressive, but someone who probes and disrupts opponents with movement and subtle feints. He advances carefully, looking for vulnerabilities without rushing the attack.

On the other side is the more pressing figure: Christian Mbilli. The Frenchman is a relentless force, a high-output, high-pressure machine who overwhelms with volume and constant forward motion. Given Sulecki’s more measured style, it’s hard to imagine him out-hustling Mbilli in this kind of tempo.

At 36, Sulecki is a well-traveled veteran with experience against elite names: Demetrius Andrade, Daniel Jacobs, Jack Culcay, and Diego Pacheco—the last of whom stopped him to the body. Still, he owns wins over quality foes like Culcay and Ali Akhmedov, the latter in Kazakhstan just months ago.

Mbilli, at 30, is entering his prime and inching toward a world title. His résumé is lighter in terms of elite opposition. He’s fought veteran fighters like Carlos Góngora, Vaughn Alexander, and Sergiy Derevyanchenko, though the latter had a damaged hand during their fight—a factor that raised concerns despite Mbilli’s win.

Mbilli’s work rate is unmatched. He throws almost 240 punches per fight, compared to Sulecki’s 157. Despite this volume, Mbilli’s accuracy remains high—over 30%, while Sulecki lands just 17% of his shots.

Mbilli peaks in rounds 5 and 6, overwhelming opponents in the fight’s middle stretch. Sulecki, on the other hand, tends to rally late, especially effective in round 9, showing veteran pacing and endurance.

This will be Sulecki’s second fight of the year, having stopped Akhmedov four months ago. For a 36-year-old, staying active like this is critical—it prevents rust and keeps timing sharp.

Mbilli, however, has been out since his hard-fought win over Derevyanchenko, a gap of nearly ten months. Ring rust could be a concern—especially in the early rounds.

No doubt here: Mbilli carries the heavier hands. With over 80% knockout wins, he brings youth, physicality, and the kind of pressure that breaks fighters down. Sulecki, with less than 40% stoppages, prefers to accumulate damage and outwork his opponents.

Sulecki is durable—but not unbreakable. Pacheco stopped him with body shots, and at this stage in his career, the wear and tear of so many battles could show. Mbilli has taken shots too—Derevyanchenko landed cleanly throughout their fight—but so far, the Frenchman has held up well. Still, the volume he absorbs raises the risk of late-fight surprises if he isn’t careful.

Mbilli will have the crowd behind him in Quebec, his adopted home. He hasn’t fought abroad since 2022. But Sulecki isn’t fazed by travel—he knocked out Akhmedov in Kazakhstan and has fought in the U.S. multiple times. Though this will be his Canadian debut, he’s no stranger to the role of underdog on foreign soil.

Questions still linger around Mbilli’s underwhelming performance against Derevyanchenko. He didn’t dominate as expected, and if the Ukrainian hadn’t been injured, the outcome might have been different. Beating Sulecki won’t erase those doubts, but a dominant performance would soften criticism—especially if it earns him an interim title and a potential shot at Canelo.

For Sulecki, this isn’t just another paycheck. He’s never been one to just show up. The challenge is whether he can disrupt Mbilli’s rhythm. If he can’t slow the tempo, he may get drowned by the younger fighter’s energy and volume.

This is a fight of age vs. youth, method vs. mayhem, and the outcome could hinge on whether Sulecki can manage the storm—or get swept away by it.