Fight Analytics

Each round of the WBC Grand Prix has presented Danylo Lozan with a completely different opponent. In the first fight, he faced the aggressive Eshmatov, who tried to draw the Ukrainian into a slugfest. In the second, it was the highly mobile and awkward Basran.

Both opponents lost—albeit in different ways. Eshmatov forced exchanges but couldn’t match Lozan’s tempo. Basran attempted to turn it into a footrace but still lost—by stoppage.

In Sanatali Toltayev’s case, both of his opponents allowed him to dictate the pace and style of the bout. Toltayev is an active counterpuncher, provoking his rivals to come forward and then picking them apart with well-timed shots. His matchups against Brochero and Into were close, but the Kazakh made both opponents box on his terms—and won both fights.

Lozan is only 22 years old, while Toltayev is 25. Sanatali has extensive amateur experience, including participation in major international tournaments, but only four professional bouts.

Lozan doesn’t have the same amateur pedigree but has 14 pro fights under his belt. He’s faced solid domestic opposition in Ukraine, including Aivazidi, Boryshpolets, and Belinsky—and has already defeated two very different styles at this Grand Prix.

Technically, Lozan doesn’t throw that many more punches than Toltayev—an average of 369 to 319. But it’s important to note that this stat only reflects their Grand Prix appearances.

Both have had two 6-round bouts in the tournament. Toltayev went nearly the full distance each time—stopping one opponent in the final round and winning the other on points. Lozan, by contrast, has only boxed a total of nine rounds, having stopped Basran in the third.

Viewed through that lens, Lozan’s output is significantly higher. Fewer rounds, but more punches—his activity grows as the rounds progress.

While Toltayev has the edge in overall accuracy and jab accuracy—which makes sense given his counterpunching style—Lozan leads in power punch accuracy: 26% to 24%.

Neither fighter has competed outside of the Grand Prix. But their schedule is solid—both fought in April and June.

Each round, both men look sharper and more focused. The consistent pace of the tournament and growing familiarity with the Riyadh environment are clearly helping their performances.

Both fighters share identical Grand Prix records: 2 wins, 1 by stoppage.

Clearly, neither man is a knockout artist—but both can hit hard.

Lozan’s power deserves special mention—not only based on his Grand Prix performance but also from his earlier pro bouts. Even the elusive Basran couldn’t avoid his heavy shot and was stopped.

Lozan’s diverse fighting style makes his power more dangerous, as he can land in unpredictable moments.

Both are young and durable. They absorb shots well and work hard to avoid getting hit in the first place.

Toltayev is particularly good at this. He manages distance well, controls his opponents’ advances, and doesn’t let them get too close.

To truly test Toltayev’s chin, Lozan will have to work for it.

Neither fighter has a home advantage in Riyadh. Judging should be neutral.

What matters more is how well each fighter has acclimated to Riyadh’s conditions—and how long they can maintain their pace without fading.

The Grand Prix is entering its critical stages. Early rounds were something of a gamble—fighters didn’t know their opponents’ names in advance and relied on instinct and general preparation.

Now, the stakes are high. Each man is prepping for a specific rival, spending significant time in Riyadh, and is laser-focused on reaching the final.

Tactically, the fight is awkward for both. Both Lozan and Toltayev prefer to counterpunch, work off the back foot, and capitalize on mistakes at comfortable range. But in this bout, one of them will have to take the initiative.

Based on previous Grand Prix fights, it’s unlikely we’ll see Toltayev push forward. That means Lozan will likely take the lead, as he did against Basran—using footwork to set traps and look for heavy scoring shots.

On the surface, that favors Toltayev, who enjoys opponents who bring the fight. But Lozan is likely better at that than Brochero or Into—both of whom gave Toltayev close fights.