51%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
49%
Average number of Punches thrown per fight
618
Average number of punches thrown per fight457
Average number of Punches landed per fight
141 (23%)
Average number of punches landed per fight159 (35%)
Average number of Jabs thrown per fight
309
Average number of jabs thrown per fight130
Average number of Jabs landed per fight
51 (17%)
Average number of jabs landed per fight44 (34%)
Average number of Power Punches thrown per fight
309
Average number of power punches thrown per fight326
Average number of Power Punches landed per fight
89 (29%)
Average number of power punches landed per fight115 (35%)
530to the head
174to the body
632to the head
164to the body
Detailed Fight Review
Expect a clash fought almost entirely at mid and close range. Subriel Matías is one of the sport’s purest pressure fighters — he never stops moving forward, throwing punches, and breaking opponents down with attrition.
But Alberto Puello is no counterpuncher hiding on the back foot. He’s also most effective when pressing forward. While less relentless than Matías, Puello is slick, uses his reach wisely, and excels at angling around high guards to score.
Both love to initiate, both are willing to trade. Don’t expect a long tactical warm-up — they’ll go to work early.
Puello, 30, is three years younger. Both are still in their physical prime and have weathered high-level tests. Puello’s last four wins came against Akhmedov, Madera, Gary Antuanne Russell, and Sandor Martin — two of whom were undefeated at the time, two were world champions. Every win was earned.
Matías has his own resume of destruction: between 2020 and 2023, he rattled off five straight wins where opponents quit mid-fight. He then dropped a close decision to Liam Paro, before bouncing back with two more stoppages.
Both are volume punchers, averaging between 400–600 punches per fight. Given their aggressive styles, expect high output again. They’ll pressure, engage, and grind each other down.
Matías has the accuracy edge: 35% to Puello’s 23%. That’s a significant gap, especially considering the Puerto Rican’s punch volume.
Both come in hot. Puello went 12 rounds with the tricky and awkward Sandor Martin — no small feat — and before that beat a 100% KO-rate fighter in Gary Russell.
Matías returned from his lone career loss in style, stopping two opponents — including Gabriel Valenzuela, who hadn’t been stopped since 2016.
Matías boasts 22 wins — all by stoppage. Puello, in contrast, has a KO rate just over 41%. But don’t mistake Subriel for a one-shot knockout artist. He’s not about singular, terrifying punches — he drowns his opponents in volume. He throws to the head, body, everywhere, at a pace few can sustain.
Both have solid chins — a crucial asset in a matchup almost guaranteed to produce trades. Puello is elusive and awkward, able to smother incoming offense or make opponents miss altogether.
Matías is easier to hit — and accepts that as part of his method. He walks through shots to land his own. Fortunately for him, he absorbs punches exceptionally well.
It’s a debut in Queens for both. For Matías, it’s a return to U.S. soil after a two-year gap. His last U.S. fight in 2023 ended in a stoppage win — he then fought at home and lost to Liam Paro.
Puello, meanwhile, has been racking up wins abroad. He last fought in the Dominican Republic in 2021 and has gone 5-0 in the U.S. since — all by decision.
No trash talk needed. Both men are professionals who bring pain without personal animosity.
For Matías, this is a shot at redemption. The Paro loss interrupted a fearsome run of stoppages, but he remains one of boxing’s most dangerous pressure fighters. He won’t want to waste a second chance at climbing back to the top.
For Puello, the challenge is absorbing the Matías storm while landing enough to take the steam out of it. He’ll come forward — he always does — but surviving and thriving under Subriel’s pressure will require elite discipline and movement. Catching Puello isn’t the hard part. Landing enough to drain his energy? That’s the real puzzle.