Emanuel Navarrete – Oscar Valdez 2: Fight Stats and Odds

On December 7 in Phoenix, USA, two of Mexico’s finest boxers will clash in a highly anticipated rematch. Emanuel Navarrete returns to super featherweight for his second bout against Oscar Valdez.

The first fight was a spectacle. What will the rematch bring? Here’s an in-depth preview by Ready to Fight.

Emanuel Navarrete

Country: Mexico

Age: 29 years

Weight Class: Super Featherweight (up to 58.96 kg)

Height: 170 cm

Reach: 183 cm

Stance: Orthodox

Record: 38 wins (31 by KO), 2 losses, 1 draw

KO Percentage: 81.6%

Total Career Rounds: 240

Recent Fights:

- Loss by split decision (SD 12) – Denys Berinchyk

- Draw by majority decision (MD 12) – Robson Conceição

- Win by unanimous decision (UD 12) – Oscar Valdez

- Win by technical knockout (TKO 9) – Liam Wilson

- Win by knockout (KO 6) – Eduardo Baez

Rounds in Last 5 Fights: 51

Average Rounds per Fight in Recent Fights: 10.2

Longest and Shortest Recent Fights: Longest – 12 rounds (SD loss) / Shortest – 6 rounds (KO win)

Win Rate in Recent Fights: 60%

Loss/Draw Rate in Recent Fights: 40%

KO Rate in Recent Fights: 40%

Ring Activity in Recent Fights: 1.7 fights per year

Combined Opponent Record at Fight Time: 98 wins, 6 losses, 2 draws

Best Opponent Record: Denys Berinchyk (18-0 at fight time)

Least Successful Opponent Record: Robson Conceição (17-2 at fight time)

Punching Stats in Recent Fights:

- Jabs: 30 landed out of 265 thrown

- Power Punches: 123 landed out of 447 thrown

- Body Shots: 24

- Total Punches: 153 landed out of 712 thrown

- Overall Accuracy: 21.5%

Oscar Valdez

Country: Mexico

Age: 33 years

Weight Class: Super Featherweight (up to 58.96 kg)

Height: 166 cm

Reach: 168 cm

Stance: Orthodox

Record: 32 wins (24 by KO), 2 losses

KO Percentage: 75%

Total Career Rounds: 221

Recent Fights:

- Win by technical knockout (TKO 7) – Liam Wilson

- Loss by unanimous decision (UD 12) – Emanuel Navarrete

- Win by unanimous decision (UD 10) – Adam Lopez

- Loss by unanimous decision (UD 12) – Shakur Stevenson

- Win by unanimous decision (UD 12) – Robson Conceição

Rounds in Last 5 Fights: 53

Average Rounds per Fight in Recent Fights: 10.6

Longest and Shortest Recent Fights: Longest – 12 rounds (UD loss) / Shortest – 7 rounds (TKO win)

Win Rate in Recent Fights: 60%

Loss Rate in Recent Fights: 40%

KO Rate in Recent Fights: 20%

Ring Activity in Recent Fights: 1.5 fights per year

Combined Opponent Record at Fight Time: 99 wins, 7 losses, 0 draws

Best Opponent Record: Emanuel Navarrete (37-1 at fight time)

Least Successful Opponent Record: Adam Lopez (16-4 at fight time)

Punching Stats in Recent Fights:

- Jabs: 25 landed out of 140 thrown

- Power Punches: 115 landed out of 301 thrown

- Body Shots: 38

- Total Punches: 140 landed out of 441 thrown

- Overall Accuracy: 31.7%

Styles and Techniques

If there’s an ideal matchup for fans of Mexican-style boxing, this is it. Both fighters embrace an aggressive approach but with distinct differences.

Emanuel Navarrete is an all-out attacking fighter. His relentless forward movement and high punch volume create a curtain of blows that overwhelms opponents.

Oscar Valdez, under the guidance of trainer Eddy Reynoso, has developed a more counter-punching style. While Valdez enjoys exchanges, his ability to fight on the back foot has been pivotal in securing major victories and championship titles.

Age and Experience Difference

Valdez is older at 33 years, and in the lighter weight classes, age often signals the twilight of a boxer’s career. However, Valdez hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down in his recent fights.

Experience is also measured in the number and quality of bouts. At 29 years old, Navarrete has fought more frequently, likely absorbing more punches along the way.

Both fighters boast impressive resumes outside their rivalry. Navarrete is a three-division world champion, with his only recent loss coming against Olympic silver medalist Denys Berinchyk in an attempt to conquer a fourth division.

Valdez has won titles in two weight classes and faced several elite opponents, including Scott Quigg, Miguel Marriaga, Miguel Berchelt, Robson Conceição, Shakur Stevenson, Liam Wilson, and Navarrete himself.

Punch Statistics in Recent Fights

The statistics align with their styles: Navarrete throws significantly more punches, while Valdez is more accurate.

Navarrete is relentless, averaging around 700 punches per fight. This overwhelming output creates problems for most opponents.

Valdez, by comparison, throws an average of 400–450 punches per fight, but his accuracy is roughly 10% higher than Navarrete’s.

In their first meeting, Navarrete unleashed over 1,000 punches, landing 216 with an accuracy of 20.8%. Valdez, sticking to his usual pace, threw 436 punches and landed 140, achieving a 32.1% accuracy rate.

Ring Activity

This is a critical factor in the rematch. Valdez has remained in the super featherweight division, defeating Liam Wilson—a former Navarrete opponent—via a 7th-round TKO. The bout was clearly designed as preparation for his rematch against Navarrete, featuring an aggressive opponent with similar physical attributes.

Navarrete, meanwhile, has fought twice since their first bout but has yet to secure a victory. He drew with Robson Conceição and lost to Denys Berinchyk, suffering an injury during the draw.

Now, Navarrete must drop back down from lightweight. The question remains whether this weight cut will hinder him, as his move up was partly due to difficulties maintaining a lower weight.

Punching Power

The approaches to knockouts differ significantly between the two fighters.

Valdez’s punches pack visibly more raw power. His single punches are capable of stunning opponents, often appearing heavier than those of the larger Navarrete.

Navarrete, on the other hand, wears down opponents with his volume. He methodically drains their energy with a sustained attack, targeting the body effectively and hiding his power punches within a flurry of shots.

Chin and Durability

Both fighters have proven their ability to take punches and excel in exchanges. While either fighter could theoretically be knocked out, this outcome is not the most likely scenario.

The possibility of a physical breakdown—whether due to injury or exhaustion—cannot be ruled out but shouldn’t be considered a foregone conclusion.

Venue Advantage

For Valdez, this will be his third fight in Phoenix, Arizona. He won his previous two bouts here, one by decision and one by stoppage, although his last appearance in the city was in 2014.

Navarrete will be fighting in Phoenix for the first time. However, with a largely Mexican crowd expected, both fighters are likely to enjoy substantial support.

Psychology and Recent Success

Navarrete is eager to bounce back after a draw and a loss in his last two bouts, breaking a streak of victories that spanned from 2012 to 2023. Valdez presents an opportunity for redemption—a title fight against an exciting opponent whom he defeated in their first meeting.

For Valdez, the rematch feels like unfinished business. He performed exceptionally well in their first fight and was more accurate, but Navarrete’s physical advantages proved decisive. Valdez is determined to adjust his strategy and demonstrate that he can overcome his compatriot with the right approach.

Fight Odds by Ready to Fight:

- Emanuel Navarrete: 51%

- Oscar Valdez: 49%