45%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
55%
Tursunov
Winner
UD
Win method
Round amount
Detailed Fight Review
This matchup is tailor-made for fireworks—two fighters who, on their best night, press forward and generate action rather than retreat.
That’s especially true for Mujibillo Tursunov, who typically spends most of the bout coming forward, applying pressure and trying to force his opponent onto the back foot.
Both fighters are 25 years old, but their paths are different. Tursunov has a solid amateur pedigree, while Misael Urías is a textbook case of a relentless Mexican pro—gritty and battle-tested.
Urías already has 20 professional fights, including two losses, and has been molded by Mexico’s deep and rugged boxing school from the very start.
The stats paint an interesting picture.
Urías throws more punches overall, especially jabs. Tursunov, on the other hand, focuses on power shots—he throws fewer punches but a higher proportion of them are hard, aggressive blows.
That said, Tursunov’s power punch accuracy is slightly lower—21%, which is respectable, but 1% behind Urías.
In terms of jab and total punch accuracy, Tursunov comes out ahead.
For Urías, Saudi Arabia is becoming a second home after Mexico—this will be his third bout in Riyadh. He also has one fight in Canada.
Tursunov has only boxed professionally in Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia.
Both are sticking to a fast-paced Grand Prix schedule, fighting roughly every two months. There's barely time to rest before the next camp starts.
Tursunov hits well, pressures his opponents, and lands frequently—but only 2 of his 7 wins have come by stoppage (28.57% KO rate), which raises questions about his explosiveness.
Urías, with over 60% KO rate, looks more dangerous on paper, but he isn’t exactly a one-shot finisher either. A knockout win in this fight is unlikely.
Urías has two defeats, but has never been stopped.
Tursunov sometimes eats shots due to his aggressive style but absorbs them well.
Both fighters have solid chins and rely on effective defensive styles: Urías uses an unorthodox approach that makes him hard to hit clean; Tursunov’s high guard forces many punches to land on his arms and shoulders.
One factor is arrival time and acclimatization to the Saudi heat—especially if either fighter lands late.
Neither man should expect a “home crowd” advantage in Riyadh.
There’s no room for slow starts—no 12-round safety net to correct early mistakes. The winner will be the one who’s better prepared both physically and tactically.
On pure skill, Tursunov looks slightly sharper. But when it comes to professional experience, Urías holds the edge.
It’s unlikely that the Uzbek fighter will intimidate the Mexican at close range with combos alone.
What could break the difference is Tursunov’s tempo and precision. Over time, those factors may wear Urías down.
For Urías, controlling the range will be critical. If he keeps the fight at his ideal distance, he can force Tursunov to work harder than he wants, potentially draining him and slowing him down late.