Robson Conceição vs. O'Shaquie Foster: Odds of Victory and Fight Statistics
On November 2 in Verona, Wisconsin, USA, a championship bout between Robson Conceição and O'Shaquie Foster will take place. This marks the second encounter between the Brazilian and the American, happening four months after their first meeting, in which Conceição won quite controversially.
Here are the detailed figures and analysis from Ready to Fight.
Robson Conceição
Country: Brazil
Age: 36
Weight Class: Super Featherweight (up to 58.9 kg)
Height: 179 cm
Reach: 178 cm
Stance: Orthodox
Record: 19 wins (9 by KO), 1 draw, 2 losses
Knockout Percentage: 47.37%
Total Rounds in Career: 148
Recent Fights:
- Win by Split Decision (SD 12) – O'Shaquie Foster
- Win by Technical Knockout (TKO) in Round 7 – José Ivan Guardado Ortiz
- Draw by Split Decision (D-MD 12) – Emanuel Navarrete
- Loss by Unanimous Decision (UD 12) – Shakur Stevenson
- Win by Unanimous Decision (UD 10) – Xavier Martinez
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 53
Average Rounds in Recent Fights: 10.6 rounds
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest – 12 rounds / Shortest – 7 rounds (draw)
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 60%
Knockout Percentage in Recent Fights: 20%
Ring Frequency in Recent Fights: 1.66 fights per year
Overall Record of Opponents at Fight Time: 130 wins, 8 losses, 2 draws
Best Record Among Recent Opponents: Shakur Stevenson (18 wins, 0 losses at fight time)
Worst Record Among Recent Opponents: O'Shaquie Foster (22 wins, 2 losses at fight time)
Average Punches in Recent Fights:
- Jabs: 144 of 912 (15.8%)
- Power Punches: 205 of 1124 (18.2%)
- Body Shots: Averaged 25 landed punches
- Total: 349 of 2036
- Overall Accuracy: 17.1%
O'Shaquie Foster
Country: USA
Age: 31
Weight Class: Super Featherweight (up to 58.9 kg)
Height: 174 cm
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Southpaw
Record: 22 wins (12 by KO), 3 losses
Knockout Percentage: 54.55%
Total Rounds in Career: 158
Recent Fights:
- Loss by Split Decision (SD 12) – Robson Conceição
- Win by Split Decision (SD 12) – Abraham Nova
- Win by Technical Knockout (TKO) in Round 12 – Eduardo Hernández
- Win by Unanimous Decision (UD 12) – Rey Vargas
- Win by Unanimous Decision (UD 12) – Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 60
Average Rounds in Recent Fights: 12 rounds
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest – 12 rounds / Shortest – 12 rounds
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 80%
Knockout Percentage in Recent Fights: 20%
Ring Frequency in Recent Fights: 1.66 fights per year
Overall Record of Opponents at Fight Time: 129 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw
Best Record Among Recent Opponents: Rey Vargas (36 wins, 0 losses at fight time)
Worst Record Among Recent Opponents: Robson Conceição (19 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw at fight time)
Average Punches in Recent Fights:
- Jabs: 104 of 651 (16.0%)
- Power Punches: 278 of 680 (40.9%)
- Body Shots: Averaged 12.3 landed punches
- Total: 404 of 1331
- Overall Accuracy: 30.4%
Styles and Techniques of the Opponents
As demonstrated in their first encounter during the summer of 2024, the upcoming bout between O'Shaquie Foster and Robson Conceição will feature an aggressive fighter facing off against a counterpuncher. Conceição has an impressive amateur background, including a silver medal at the Pan American Games, silver and bronze medals at world championships, and a gold medal at the 2016 Olympics. However, he has recently adopted a more aggressive style, trying to overpower his opponents with heavy punches.
Foster is a more precise and calculated boxer. Even in their first fight, there was a noticeable difference in effectiveness, with O'Shaquie's accuracy being twice that of Conceição in every statistic:
- Jab Accuracy in First Fight: Conceição – 7%, Foster – 19.4%
- Power Punch Accuracy in First Fight: Conceição – 15.7%, Foster – 33.7%
- Overall Accuracy in First Fight: Conceição – 10.8%, Foster – 25.1%
It is unlikely that much will change in the second bout. Conceição, now a more seasoned fighter, might struggle to outpace Foster or maintain his speed for extended periods. Nevertheless, he utilizes his skills, power, and ability to throw a large volume of punches effectively, especially to the body—averaging twice as many body shots as Foster.
At the same time, Foster presents a slippery and tricky challenge for the champion. Statistics indicate that Conceição's effectiveness drops significantly against such opponents.
A comparison of Conceição's performances against Foster, Shakur Stevenson, and Emanuel Navarrete reveals this trend. In the first two instances, the accuracy of his jabs was around 5-7%, whereas against Navarrete, it exceeded 26%. His power punch accuracy was approximately 15% against Foster and Stevenson, but over 23% against Emanuel. In those matches, Conceição's overall punching effectiveness hovered around 10-12%, compared to 25% against Navarrete.
In the fight against Mexican Navarrete, Conceição managed to perform well in exchanges, actively landing power shots and exploiting openings in his opponent's defense. Meanwhile, Shakur Stevenson and O'Shaquie Foster employed a cautious yet precise second-hand strategy, demonstrating how to make the reigning champion miss.
Age and Experience Difference
At 36, Conceição is at a significant age for lightweight fighters. This can be linked to his transition into a more aggressive, hard-hitting boxing style. Robson has always focused on powerful, targeted attacks, but recently he has made aggression and hard body shots a hallmark of his style.
Conceição has fought against all the top contenders in the super lightweight division, including Oscar Valdez, Shakur Stevenson, Emanuel Navarrete, and O'Shaquie Foster.
Foster, on the other hand, is just 31 and is experiencing the best period of his career. He was inactive from 2020 to 2022 but upon returning, he became a champion and showcased impressive boxing skills. During this time, the American defeated Rey Vargas, Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov, Eduardo Hernández, and Abraham Nova, becoming a champion. He was expected to win against Robson Conceição, were it not for a strange decision from the judges.
The situation surrounding Robson’s experience and his recent victory is intriguing. Conceição looked impressive against Oscar Valdez, performed well against Shakur Stevenson, and could have potentially beaten Emanuel Navarrete. However, in the first two instances, the Brazilian lost, and in the third, he ended in a draw. In his fight against Foster, Conceição was active and aggressive but noticeably less effective than his opponent, yet the judges awarded him the belt.
Robson's heavy punches may still be sufficient for victory in the rematch. However, given that both fighters now have a deeper understanding of each other, the chances of this happening seem lower.
Punch Statistics in Recent Fights
On average, Conceição throws more punches. In their first match, he threw nearly three hundred more punches and was significantly more active in the ring, which can be attributed to his aggressive style in recent bouts. Foster, on the other hand, demonstrates more consistency in his effectiveness, traditionally landing around 430-470 punches per fight with an accuracy rate above 30%. Conceição’s accuracy is closer to 17%.
It's also noteworthy that Conceição shows almost twice as much activity in body shots. Given the emphasis he places on these strikes, opponents must be very cautious against them.
Fight Activity
In terms of recent career activity, both boxers are performing at a similar pace. They have each had two fights in 2024 and will box for the third time. Both also had two bouts in 2023. The last time Conceição fought more in a year than Foster was in 2022, when O'Shaquie returned after a two-year hiatus and had one fight, while Robson fought twice—winning against Javier Martinez and losing to Shakur Stevenson.
On average, O'Shaquie fights more frequently. Foster enters the ring approximately every 122 days, while Conceição fights every 173 days.
Punching Power
In terms of knockout percentages, O'Shaquie Foster holds the advantage; however, the strength of Conceição's punches deserves mention. It’s important to note that punch strength and knockouts don’t always correlate.
To achieve a knockout or early stoppage, one must strike timely and accurately before landing powerful blows. Conceição tends to overwhelm his opponents with heavy punches, becoming more aggressive during exchanges. Even in the first fight against Foster, he caught him with solid shots coming in.
Ability to Take a Punch
Neither fighter has ever been knocked out. Both possess excellent punch resistance and have endured tough matchups against strong opponents.
Foster and Conceição also do their best to make it difficult for opponents to hit them. Robson tends to expose himself more when attacking, but overall, neither fighter has shown issues with taking punches from their adversaries.
Arena for the Match
The fight will take place in O'Shaquie Foster's territory—in the USA. However, this is unlikely to be an advantage. First, Conceição has been living in the USA for a long time. He has fought 20 times outside Brazil and has been boxing exclusively in America since 2020.
Secondly, their first fight also occurred in the USA, but this did not help Foster achieve victory.
Another interesting fact is that O'Shaquie has never fought at the Turning Stone Resort & Casino in Verona, while Conceição will be boxing there for the second time. Robson first fought there in 2019, winning against Hector Suarez by unanimous decision.
Psychology and Recent Successes
The loss in the previous bout was a blow for Foster, making it difficult for him to give interviews afterward. He is currently in the best period of his career. O'Shaquie was a champion, had an excellent unbeaten streak, and put on a solid performance against the Brazilian but did not win. Thus, his desire to prove that the outcome of the first fight was an error will drive him.
Meanwhile, Conceição has worked for years to earn a title. He has fought all the top contenders and performed admirably everywhere but could not secure a victory until now. With the title in hand, he certainly doesn’t plan to give it up easily.
Odds of Victory from Ready to Fight:
- O'Shaquie Foster: 54%
- Robson Conceição: 46%