Featherweight
59%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
41%
A classic British matchup: two active, mobile fighters who rely on combination punching and sharp counters.
Collins generally appears sharper and more precise. A southpaw who tracks his opponent, lures them into committing, and punishes mistakes through excellent footwork. Thanks to his discipline and ring IQ, Nathaniel remains undefeated to this day.
Both fighters are 28 years old, and they’ve faced a similar level of opposition. The key difference is that McGregor has already suffered a loss — against Eris Ayala — and fought to a draw with Diego Ruiz. Collins, by contrast, has handled every opponent he's faced in the pros without much trouble.
Despite their similar styles, Collins throws more punches. In his pressure-based, bait-and-punish approach, he averages around 65 punches per round. McGregor’s average sits at around 45–50, giving Collins a notable edge in output.
Add to that Collins’ clean execution and awkward southpaw stance, and the gap becomes even more meaningful.
Collins fought once in 2024 and has already picked up another win in 2025, both via decision. In 2023, he went 3–0, including two stoppages.
McGregor also has a strong recent résumé, capped off with a noteworthy win over Isaac Lowe in his last outing. His momentum is real — and so is his confidence.
McGregor holds the power advantage here. He may not be as precise, but he hits hard — over 70% of his wins have come by stoppage. He hides his power well inside combinations, and when it lands, it counts.
Collins doesn’t bring the same level of power — that’s not his strength in this matchup.
Both fighters take shots well and know how to recover when they do get clipped. This is one of those matchups where a judges’ decision feels more likely than a knockout, simply because both men are so tough and defensively sound.
This will be Collins’ ninth fight in Glasgow — and his second in a row there. He’s practically at home in the city at this point.
That said, McGregor is no stranger to Glasgow either — this will be his seventh appearance in the city. In fact, between 2018 and 2019, four of his five fights were held here.
This is a classic British showdown — fast-paced, tactical, and full of energy. Both men come in on strong win streaks.
There’s no clear mental edge going in. Collins has never lost, and McGregor is riding high after a major win. What happens next will come down to pure skill and the ability to execute under pressure.
146
Total number of Punches thrown79
35 (24%)
Total number of Punches landed21 (27%)
53
Total number of Jabs thrown11
9 (17%)
Total number of Jabs landed1 (9%)
93
Total number of Power Punches thrown68
26 (28%)
Total number of Power Punches landed20 (29%)
30to the head
5to the body
7to the head
14to the body