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Rafael Espinoza Arnold  Khegai

Collins
McGregor

4 / 10 Rounds🥊 TKO
May 24, 2025, 18:30 UTC
The SSE Hydro, Glasgow, United Kingdom
Nathaniel  Collins

Nathaniel Collins

United Kingdom
🇬🇧
29 yearsMore information

General Indicators

Featherweight

  • 17 / 0 / 1Record15 / 2 / 1
  • 8 (47%) Wins by knockout (%)11 (73%)
  • 0 (0%) Losses by knockout (%)1 (50%)
  • 117Total rounds106
  • 0 / 0Title fights / wins1 / 0
  • 0 / 0Title defenses / wins0 / 0

Parameters

  • 168Height172
  • 0Reach172
  • SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Lee McGregor

Lee McGregor

United Kingdom
🇬🇧
28 yearsMore information

59%

% Wins - Prediction by RTF

41%

Fighter left

Ranking

Fighter right

Last fights

    Detailed Fight Review

    Styles and Techniques of the Opponents

  • A classic British matchup: two active, mobile fighters who rely on combination punching and sharp counters.

    Collins generally appears sharper and more precise. A southpaw who tracks his opponent, lures them into committing, and punishes mistakes through excellent footwork. Thanks to his discipline and ring IQ, Nathaniel remains undefeated to this day.

  • Age and Experience Difference

  • Both fighters are 28 years old, and they’ve faced a similar level of opposition. The key difference is that McGregor has already suffered a loss — against Eris Ayala — and fought to a draw with Diego Ruiz. Collins, by contrast, has handled every opponent he's faced in the pros without much trouble.

  • Punch Statistics in Recent Fights

  • Despite their similar styles, Collins throws more punches. In his pressure-based, bait-and-punish approach, he averages around 65 punches per round. McGregor’s average sits at around 45–50, giving Collins a notable edge in output.

    Add to that Collins’ clean execution and awkward southpaw stance, and the gap becomes even more meaningful.

  • Fighting Activity

  • Collins fought once in 2024 and has already picked up another win in 2025, both via decision. In 2023, he went 3–0, including two stoppages.

    McGregor also has a strong recent résumé, capped off with a noteworthy win over Isaac Lowe in his last outing. His momentum is real — and so is his confidence.

  • Punching Power

  • McGregor holds the power advantage here. He may not be as precise, but he hits hard — over 70% of his wins have come by stoppage. He hides his power well inside combinations, and when it lands, it counts.

    Collins doesn’t bring the same level of power — that’s not his strength in this matchup.

  • Ability to Absorb Hits

  • Both fighters take shots well and know how to recover when they do get clipped. This is one of those matchups where a judges’ decision feels more likely than a knockout, simply because both men are so tough and defensively sound.

  • Fight Venue

  • This will be Collins’ ninth fight in Glasgow — and his second in a row there. He’s practically at home in the city at this point.

    That said, McGregor is no stranger to Glasgow either — this will be his seventh appearance in the city. In fact, between 2018 and 2019, four of his five fights were held here.

  • Psychology and Recent Successes

  • This is a classic British showdown — fast-paced, tactical, and full of energy. Both men come in on strong win streaks.

    There’s no clear mental edge going in. Collins has never lost, and McGregor is riding high after a major win. What happens next will come down to pure skill and the ability to execute under pressure.

Statistics of punches in the Collins VS McGregor fight

  • Punches

    Nathaniel
    Lee
    • Line ViewLine View
    • Bar ViewBar View

    Total number of Punches thrown

    Total
    Landed

    146

    Total number of Punches thrown

    79

    Total number of Punches landed

    Total
    Landed

    35 (24%)

    Total number of Punches landed

    21 (27%)

  • Jabs

    Nathaniel
    Lee
    • Line ViewLine View
    • Bar ViewBar View

    Total number of Jabs thrown

    Total
    Landed

    53

    Total number of Jabs thrown

    11

    Total number of Jabs landed

    Total
    Landed

    9 (17%)

    Total number of Jabs landed

    1 (9%)

  • Power Punches

    Nathaniel
    Lee
    • Line ViewLine View
    • Bar ViewBar View

    Total number of Power Punches thrown

    Total
    Landed

    93

    Total number of Power Punches thrown

    68

    Total number of Power Punches landed

    Total
    Landed

    26 (28%)

    Total number of Power Punches landed

    20 (29%)

  • Punch Map

    Total
    Accurate
    • Total: Collins

      30to the head

      5to the body

    • Total: McGregor

      7to the head

      14to the body

    Collins

    McGregor
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