Frazer Clarke vs Fabio Wardley: Odds and Fight Statistics
On October 12 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Frazer Clarke and Fabio Wardley will meet once again to settle who is truly the better fighter. The first fight left the question unanswered.
Key stats from Ready to Fight:
Frazer Clarke
United Kingdom
33 years old
Weight class: Heavyweight (over 90.7 kg)
Height: 198 cm
Reach: Unknown
Stance: Orthodox
Record: 8 wins, 6 by stoppage, 0 losses, 1 draw
KO Percentage: 75%
Total career rounds: 44
Recent fights:
- Draw (D-SD 12) – Fabio Wardley
- Win via corner stoppage (RTD 6) – David Allen
- Unanimous decision win (UD 10) – Mariusz Wach
- Win via corner stoppage (RTD 2) – Bogdan Dinu
- Win via corner stoppage (RTD 4) – Kevin Nicolas Espindola
Rounds in recent fights: 34
Average rounds per fight: 6.8
Longest and shortest recent fights: Longest – 12 rounds (draw) / Shortest – 2 rounds (RTD win)
Win rate in recent fights: 80%
KO rate in recent fights: 60%
Activity level: 2.5 fights per year
Combined record of recent opponents: 102 wins, 24 losses, 2 draws
Best opponent record: Fabio Wardley (17 wins, 0 losses)
Weakest opponent record: Kevin Nicolas Espindola (7 wins, 6 losses)
Fabio Wardley
United Kingdom
29 years old
Weight class: Heavyweight (over 90.7 kg)
Height: 196 cm
Reach: Unknown
Stance: Orthodox
Record: 17 wins, 16 by stoppage, 0 losses, 1 draw
KO Percentage: 94.12%
Total career rounds: 61
Recent fights:
- Draw (D-SD 12) – Frazer Clarke
- Win via technical knockout (TKO) in round 7 – David Adeleye
- Win via technical knockout (TKO) in round 4 – Michael Coffie
- Win via technical knockout (TKO) in round 3 – Nathan Gorman
- Win via technical knockout (TKO) in round 2 – Chris Healey
Rounds in recent fights: 16
Average rounds per fight: 3.2
Longest and shortest recent fights: Longest – 12 rounds (draw) / Shortest – 2 rounds (TKO win)
Win rate in recent fights: 80%
KO rate in recent fights: 80%
Activity level: 1.66 fights per year
Combined record of recent opponents: 61 wins, 13 losses
Best opponent record: David Adeleye (12 wins, 0 losses)
Weakest opponent record: Chris Healey (9 wins, 9 losses)
Background of the Rivalry
There are few instances where a rematch is so crucial in boxing, often due to controversial judges’ decisions or a lucky punch from a fighter who was otherwise losing.
The result of the first Clarke-Wardley fight falls into this category. It was an exciting back-and-forth exchange, but it left many unanswered questions for both fighters.
Frazer Clarke looked strong for half the fight, outworking Wardley with his skills, being faster and more accurate. However, he often stood directly in front of Wardley, who capitalized on these moments by taking control, landing punches, and knocking Clarke down.
On the other hand, Wardley didn’t show his best performance either. He suffered a cut, blood covering his face, making it hard for him to close the distance and land clean punches. So, the question remains: what if Wardley hadn’t been injured? Could he have finished the job?
The fight will be for multiple titles: BBBofC British Heavyweight, Commonwealth Boxing Council Heavyweight, and WBO European Champion. However, the most valuable prize is the status of one of the top British heavyweights right now.
Interesting Facts About the Fight
- Clarke has been a professional for just two years. Before 2022, he competed in amateur boxing and even fought in the Olympics, winning a silver medal at the European Championships and a bronze at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, where he lost to future champion Bakhodir Jalolov in the semifinals.
- Wardley is four years younger than Clarke and started his pro career five years earlier, in 2017. He has knocked out every opponent except one – Frazer Clarke.
- This is not Wardley’s first fight against an undefeated British boxer. In the fall of 2023, he fought David Adeleye on the undercard of Tyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou, winning by stoppage, which set up his rematch with Clarke.
- In the first fight, Clarke was more accurate, landing 33.5% of his punches (157 out of 469). Wardley landed 31.7% (151 out of 476). Clarke also outperformed Wardley in jabs, landing 29.3% (65 out of 222) compared to Wardley’s 28.6% (66 out of 231), and in power punches, with 37.2% accuracy (92 out of 247) compared to Wardley’s 34.7% (85 out of 245).
Fight Prediction
According to estimates, Frazer Clarke has a 52% chance of winning, while Fabio Wardley has a 48% chance.
- Clarke was more accurate in every category in their first fight. If he prepares well in training camp and adjusts his game plan based on the first fight, he has a strong chance of winning.
- Wardley’s chances are only slightly lower due to his recent opponents’ slightly lower level. However, Wardley’s punching power and resilience played a significant role in the first fight, so he has good chances to win as well.