Jack Catterall – Regis Prograis: Chances of Victory and Fight Statistics
On October 26, a fight between Jack Catterall and Regis Prograis will take place in Manchester, UK. This is a crucial confrontation for both athletes at this stage of their careers. Here are the detailed numbers and analysis of the matchup from Ready to Fight.
Jack Catterall
Country: UK
Age: 31
Weight Class: Junior Welterweight (up to 63.5 kg)
Height: 170 cm
Reach: 175 cm
Stance: Southpaw
Record: 29 wins, 13 by KO, 1 loss
KO Percentage: 44.83%
Total Rounds in Career: 206
Recent Fights:
- Unanimous decision victory (UD 12) – Josh Taylor
- Unanimous decision victory (UD 12) – Jorge Linares
- Unanimous decision victory (UD 10) – Darragh Foley
- Split decision loss (SD 12) – Josh Taylor
- Decision victory (PTS 10) – Abderrazak Houya
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 56
Average Rounds in Recent Fights: 11.2
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest – 12 rounds / Shortest – 10 rounds
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 100%
KO Percentage in Recent Fights: 0%
Ring Activity Rate in Recent Fights: 1 fight per year
Total Record of Opponents at Fight Time: 102 wins, 15 losses, and 1 draw
Best Record Among Recent Opponents: Josh Taylor (19 wins, 1 loss at the time of the second fight)
Worst Record Among Recent Opponents: Darragh Foley (22 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw at the time of the fight)
Average Punches in Recent Fights:
- Jabs: 66 out of 274.66 (24.03%)
- Power punches: 82.3 out of 204 (40.43%)
- Body punches: an average of 21 landed
- Total: 144.66 out of 482
- Overall Accuracy Percentage: 30.1%
Regis Prograis
Country: USA
Age: 35
Weight Class: Junior Welterweight (up to 63.5 kg)
Height: 173 cm
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Southpaw
Record: 29 wins, 24 by KO, 2 losses
KO Percentage: 82.76%
Total Rounds in Career: 160
Recent Fights:
- Unanimous decision loss (UD 12) – Devin Haney
- Split decision victory (SD 12) – Danielito Zorrilla
- Knockout victory (KO) in round 11 – Jose Zepeda
- Technical knockout victory (TKO) in round 6 – Tyrone McKenna
- Technical knockout victory (TKO) in round 6 – Ivan Redkach
Total Rounds in Recent Fights: 47
Average Rounds in Recent Fights: 9.4
Longest and Shortest Fights: Longest – 12 rounds / Shortest – 6 rounds
Win Percentage in Recent Fights: 80%
KO Percentage in Recent Fights: 60%
Ring Activity Rate in Recent Fights: 1.66 fights per year
Total Record of Opponents at Fight Time: 128 wins, 10 losses, and 2 draws
Best Record Among Recent Opponents: Devin Haney (30 wins, 0 losses at the time of the fight)
Worst Record Among Recent Opponents: Ivan Redkach (23 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw at the time of the fight)
Average Punches in Recent Fights:
- Jabs: 30 out of 352 (8.52%)
- Power punches: 48 out of 145.66 (32.95%)
- Body punches: an average of 19 landed
- Total: 78 out of 498
- Overall Accuracy Percentage: 15.66%
Styles and Techniques of the Opponents
Catterall and Prograis are opposites in the ring. Both fighters box from a southpaw stance, but they employ different styles.
Jack Catterall works calmly as a counterpuncher, switching to attack mode only when necessary. His strength lies in drawing his opponent in and punishing mistakes. This time, he faces a puncher who will relentlessly seek the moment to finish the fight.
Regis Prograis systematically pressures his opponents. This is not an endless barrage that suffocates his opponent; rather, it’s a constant presence near his adversary, working with power punches and looking for the knockout moment. The key for Catterall will be to not miss the moment when Prograis activates his power, as he has enough strength to end the fight at any time.
Age and Experience Difference
Prograis is four years older at 35 and has been through more significant battles than Catterall. This gives him a considerable advantage in experience. Regis fought Josh Taylor at his peak when they both entered the ring undefeated. It was there that Prograis suffered his first career loss, but it was undoubtedly the fight of the year in 2019.
His second-best period came later in 2021 when he knocked out Redkach and McKenna and left no chance for Zepeda, showcasing exemplary performance in effectiveness. However, fatigue soon became apparent.
2023 has been the worst year of Prograis’s career. In both bouts, he appeared as a boxer on the decline. Zorrilla and Haney presented challenges that forced him to miss many punches and struggle to keep up. The number of fights, the style in which they were contested, and his age may have affected Prograis. This will all be answered in the upcoming bout against Catterall.
Jack is 31 years old and is hitting his peak. Even in 2022, when Catterall fought for the absolute championship against Josh Taylor as a challenger, he surprised many. The judges did not see Jack’s victory, but fans and many experts agreed that he did not lose that fight.
Since then, Jack has won three times, and each fight has shown improvement in his performance. For example, in the rematch against Josh Taylor, Jack landed many more punches, both jabs and power shots, and several times staggered his opponent with counterattacks.
However, it cannot be said that Catterall’s overall level of opposition matches that of Prograis. Regis fought against Taylor at his peak, while both of Jack’s bouts against Josh occurred when the Scot was on the decline, much like Jorge Linares, whom Catterall faced before the rematch with Taylor, who was no longer the same fighter.
Yet, facing the current Prograis could be advantageous for Catterall, as he may appear fresher and sharper in the second half of the fight.
Punch Statistics in Recent Fights
Catterall has an absolute advantage in this area. Prograis is generally an economical boxer. He is timely, hard-hitting, but has never been a model of accuracy or a leader in total punches landed.
However, Regis’s last two fights did not go well for him. He won against Zorrilla but was very close to defeat. He lost to Devin Haney without a chance.
In the first case, Prograis landed only 4 jabs out of 371 thrown. In the second fight, he landed just 5 jabs out of 251 attempts. While he fared better with power punches, his accuracy of 27-30% compared to Catterall’s 44-50% does not look good.
It’s worth noting that both Zorrilla and Haney had significant advantages in size. Both were taller, had longer reaches, and weighed more at fight time. Jack will not have that advantage; he and Prograis are roughly equal in size.
Moreover, this will be Catterall’s second consecutive fight against a southpaw. In the previous bout, he effectively worked with southpaw Taylor, landing counter punches and raising the pace in the second half, nearly finishing his opponent. Prograis has not fought a southpaw since 2022, when he knocked out Jose Zepeda in the 11th round.
Fighting Activity
On average, Regis Prograis fights more frequently than his opponent. In 2022 and 2023, he had two fights each year, while Catterall fought twice in 2023, once in 2022, and had not stepped into the ring since 2020 prior to that. However, 2024 marks Jack’s second fight already. Prograis has been recovering from his loss to Haney and looking for interesting options for his next fight, not competing since 2023.
This point is fairly equal. The 31-year-old Catterall is at a prime time to ramp up and face higher-level opposition. The 35-year-old Prograis should take the time to rest, recover, and prepare thoroughly for the bout.
Punching Power
There is a clear advantage for Prograis in this area. Catterall punches firmly and timely; he effectively troubled Josh Taylor in their previous fight. However, he is not a knockout artist. Jack has not scored a stoppage since 2019, and his approach does not prioritize knockouts as his primary goal.
Regis not only delivers heavy shots effectively but also finishes opponents. He knows how to work the body and catch his opponent’s head.
He was unable to demonstrate this last year, as his opponents proved too tricky and elusive. However, in the ring with Prograis, any moment can lead to a knockout. Catterall must maintain his concentration throughout all twelve rounds.
Ability to Take a Punch
Both fighters have shown they can take hits and avoid being hit. However, Prograis’s belief in this skill was shaken by Devin Haney. Haney is not known as the most fearsome puncher in the world, yet he managed to knock Regis down initially and then landed several punches that raised questions about Prograis’s durability.
Whether Regis has become worse in this regard will be answered only in the upcoming fight against Jack Catterall. The Brit is known for his ability to absorb punches, and it is unlikely he will break after the first solid hit from the American.
Venue for the Bout
The fight takes place in the UK, the home country of Jack Catterall. In this matchup, he is the main star, and all hopes rest on him.
Prograis has only negative experiences fighting in the UK, with his only bout resulting in a loss to Josh Taylor at the O2 Arena in London. Now, Manchester will host the fight, with a full arena of Catterall’s fans and promoter Eddie Hearn, who is very hopeful for a Catterall victory and a title shot.
Interestingly, Manchester is almost a hometown venue for Jack Catterall as a boxer. It is where he made his professional boxing debut in 2012, winning by decision. Since then, he has fought eight more times there: five victories by knockout and three by decision.
Catterall’s overall statistics in Manchester stand at 9 fights, 9 wins, 5 by knockout, and 4 by decision. His bout against Prograis will be his milestone tenth in Manchester.
Psychology and Recent Successes
Both fighters are stubborn, both in the ring and throughout their careers. Prograis came close to defeating Taylor. He bounced back, returned, and became a champion. He faced challenges against Haney and had a tough fight against Zorrilla but fought until the very end.
Catterall’s actions, statements, and, most importantly, victories earned him a rematch with Taylor. He did everything possible to ensure the second fight against Josh occurred, aiming to prove he could indeed defeat the Scot.
Two key questions arise: First, how will Jack survive against the heavy hits from a knockout artist like Prograis? Second, what will Regis do if, in the second half of the fight, Catterall is able to increase the pace while he cannot?
Ready to Fight’s Odds Assessment
- Jack Catterall: 57%
- Regis Prograis: 43%