66%
% Wins - Prediction by RTF
34%
Average number of punches thrown per round
605
Average number of punches thrown per round414
Average number of punches landed per round
113 (19%)
Average number of punches landed per round121 (29%)
Average number of jabs thrown per round
366
Average number of jabs thrown per round191
Average number of jabs landed per round
49 (13%)
Average number of jabs landed per round49 (26%)
Average number of power punches thrown per round
238
Average number of power punches thrown per round223
Average number of power punches landed per round
65 (27%)
Average number of power punches landed per round72 (32%)
446to the head
122to the body
527to the head
80to the body
Detailed Fight Review
We’ve seen them clash before—and yet, in many ways, the rematch is a fresh chapter.
Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois are fully formed fighters. At this stage of their careers, neither is likely to fundamentally change. Usyk remains a rhythm-based southpaw, a master of footwork and angles who builds his tempo over the rounds and forces opponents into constant mental strain.
Dubois, by contrast, is a physically imposing, measured aggressor. Despite his win over Joshua, Dubois isn’t a perpetual pressure fighter—his strength lies in timing surges, not relentless attack.
That said, both men are different now. Usyk has gone through two extremely taxing fights against Tyson Fury, particularly the first. He’s also now 38 years old—age and wear are real factors.
Dubois has evolved. He’s since beaten Jarrell Miller, Filip Hrgović, and Anthony Joshua. He’s more confident, more assertive, and increasingly willing to stand in the fire and counter with force. He’s still young but now vastly more seasoned—and hungry.
Age is a glaring difference. Dubois is just 27, while Usyk is 38. That’s a major gap, even in heavyweight boxing where longevity is more common.
Usyk carries years of amateur and professional wars. Dubois, meanwhile, has matured rapidly in a short time, sharpening his skills against elite opposition since their first meeting.
Usyk averages over 600 punches per fight, steadily increasing his activity as the rounds progress. He’s known for overwhelming opponents late, often peaking in Rounds 10–12.
Dubois throws 150–180 punches fewer per fight, more selective with his output—he’s most dangerous when he lands clean and swarms to finish.
In their first bout, Usyk landed more than twice as many punches as Dubois. In Rounds 2, 3, and 6, he doubled Daniel’s connect count. In other rounds, the gap widened even further. Dubois simply couldn’t match Usyk’s rhythm or precision.
Both men have remained active. Dubois bounced back with big wins over Miller, Hrgović, and Joshua—his best career stretch. Usyk achieved the extraordinary: unifying the division against Fury and becoming the first undisputed heavyweight champion in 25 years. Now, he faces the next generation.
We now know Usyk can hurt heavyweights. He knocked Dubois out in their first fight and dropped Fury. If needed, he can land with serious force.
Still, Dubois remains the more explosive puncher. He’s physically dominant, carries heavyweight mass, and has true knockout power. If he lands clean, it changes the fight instantly.
Dubois’ two stoppage losses don’t necessarily signal a weak chin. One came via injury; against Usyk, it was more exhaustion and accumulation than a single clean shot. Usyk, meanwhile, has never been stopped and has taken heavy fire from Joshua and Fury without folding. Still, age and accumulated damage are looming variables—especially against a puncher like Dubois.
Once again, Usyk travels to enemy territory—this time Wembley. Since 2016, he has fought for a world title seven times on foreign soil—and won every time. Wembley will cheer for Dubois, but Usyk’s stature and fanbase are global. He won’t feel entirely out of place.
This fight is about legacy. Usyk has conquered everything—but questions linger: Did he beat prime heavyweights? Was the opposition historic enough?
Now, he faces a surging younger lion, determined and dangerous. A win would make Usyk the first-ever three-division undisputed champion in the four-belt era.
For Dubois, this is a shot at immortality. Victory would make him the undisputed champion and confirm him as what he and his team already believe: a king-slayer.